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Prediction Markets

What will be the target range for the Federal Funds Rate after the final FOMC meeting of 2026 (December 18, 2026)?

Above 4.00%
30% -3%
Between 3.00% and 4.00%
50% +8%
Below 3.00%
20% -5%

7.8M volume

Market expects continued disinflation and modest economic growth, allowing the Fed to gradually lower rates from current highs, but not aggressively without a significant downturn.

What will be the closing yield of the 10-Year US Treasury Note on June 30, 2027?

Above 4.50%
25% +5%
Between 3.50% and 4.50%
45% -7%
Below 3.50%
30% +2%

9.1M volume

Yields will be shaped by long-term inflation expectations, global demand for safe assets, and the overall trajectory of US economic growth relative to the rest of the world.

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LTGR
Long Table Growth Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares NASDAQ • Jul 27, 2026
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InterPrivate Investment Partners V, Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares NASDAQ • Jul 27, 2026
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D-Wave Quantum Inc. NASDAQ • Jul 27, 2026
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InterPrivate Investment Partners V, Inc. Warrants NASDAQ • Jul 27, 2026
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Point Bridge America First ETF NYSE • Jul 27, 2026
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Morgan Stanley Solana Trust NYSE • Jul 28, 2026
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Morgan Stanley Ethereum Trust NYSE • Jul 28, 2026
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Market News

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The ‘Unsettled' Vibe That's Creeping Through the Markets
The ‘Unsettled' Vibe That's Creeping Through the Markets Stocks face major tests this week from tech earnings and the Federal Reserve rate decision. via WSJ
Jul 26
Asian Currencies Mixed; May Strengthen on Signs of Pause in U.S.-Iran Conflict
Asian Currencies Mixed; May Strengthen on Signs of Pause in U.S.-Iran Conflict Asian currencies were mixed against the dollar in early trade, but may strengthen amid signs of a pause in the U.S.-Iran conflict that could underpin appetite for risky assets. via WSJ
Jul 26
Singapore Central Bank Delivers Surprise Back-to-Back Tightening
Singapore Central Bank Delivers Surprise Back-to-Back Tightening The MAS very slightly increased the rate of appreciation of the Singapore dollar nominal effective exchange-rate policy band while leaving its other parameters unchanged. via WSJ
Jul 26
Singapore tightens monetary policy as rising oil prices rekindle inflation risk
Singapore tightens monetary policy as rising oil prices rekindle inflation risk Unlike most central banks, the MAS manages medium-term price stability by managing the Singapore dollar exchange rate against a trade-weighted basket of currencies. via CNBC
Jul 26
Oil slides 5% as Iran reportedly signals halt to attacks if U.S. pause holds
Oil slides 5% as Iran reportedly signals halt to attacks if U.S. pause holds Oil prices fell after Iran reportedly said it would suspend attacks as long as a U.S. pause in hostilities remains in place. Iran has indicated it will stop carrying out attacks as long as the U.S. also refrains from striking, Reuters reported. via CNBC
Jul 26
China memory chipmaker CXMT set for Shanghai debut after Asia's biggest IPO
China memory chipmaker CXMT set for Shanghai debut after Asia's biggest IPO Shares of CXMT Corp are set to start trading in Shanghai ‌on Monday after Asia's biggest IPO this year, putting the Chinese chipmaker's $85.5 billion market value and likely heavy turnover in focus after a sharp pullback in tech shares. via Reuters
Jul 26
Oil prices sink, stock futures rally as U.S. and Iran pause attacks, Wall Street awaits busy week
Oil prices sink, stock futures rally as U.S. and Iran pause attacks, Wall Street awaits busy week U.S. stock-index futures rallied and oil prices tumbled on Sunday as the U.S. and Iran took a pause from fighting, and as Wall Street gears up for the Fed's meeting and key earnings reports from Big Tech companies. via Market Watch
Jul 26
Western US grid operator warns emergency conditions may persist in seven states
Western US grid operator warns emergency conditions may persist in seven states The ‌operator of a major western U.S. power grid warned on Sunday that emergency conditions are likely to persist during peak-demand periods, underscoring the region's vulnerability to disruptions in imported electricity. via Reuters
Jul 26
Stock Futures Poised to Trade With Iran Peace Talks Continuing
Stock Futures Poised to Trade With Iran Peace Talks Continuing It's also the start of a busy week of tech earnings and a decision by the Federal Reserve on interest rates at mid-week. via Barrons
Jul 26
Wisconsin's Warning on Election Bets Intensifies Fight With Prediction Markets
Wisconsin's Warning on Election Bets Intensifies Fight With Prediction Markets A sprawling legal battle between state regulators and sites like Kalshi is heating up ahead of the midterm elections. via WSJ
Jul 26
The Week Ahead: Fed, GDP and Big Tech Earnings Set the Tone for U.S. Stocks
The Week Ahead: Fed, GDP and Big Tech Earnings Set the Tone for U.S. Stocks Markets face a pivotal week with the Fed, Core PCE, GDP and earnings from Microsoft, Meta, Apple and Amazon all set to drive trading sentiment. via FXEmpire
Jul 26
The Future of the Toy Industry Isn't Toys. It's Magic.
The Future of the Toy Industry Isn't Toys. It's Magic. Sales of a three-decade-old card game called Magic: The Gathering have been booming. “It is a mega franchise,” Hasbro's CEO says. via WSJ
Jul 26

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