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Prediction Markets

What will be the upper bound of the Federal Funds Rate target range on June 30, 2027?

Above 4.50%
30% +5%
Between 3.50% - 4.50%
45% -3%
Below 3.50%
25% -2%

15.2M volume

Continued disinflation and potential economic slowdown could prompt the Fed to cut rates significantly by mid-2027 from current levels, aiming for a more neutral stance.

What will be the closing yield of the US 10-year Treasury bond on December 31, 2026?

Below 3.75%
35% +7%
Between 3.75% - 4.50%
40% -5%
Above 4.50%
25% -2%

9.8M volume

Persistent inflation pressures or strong economic growth could keep long-term yields elevated, while a significant economic downturn might drive them lower.

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New Fortress Energy Inc. Series A Mandatorily Convertible Preferred Stock NASDAQ • Sep 14, 2026
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Market News

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Refining Bottleneck Sends Diesel to Record High
Refining Bottleneck Sends Diesel to Record High Record diesel prices are exposing a critical constraint in global energy markets as refinery disruptions abroad collide with limited capacity in the US. GasBuddy's Patrick De Haan is on Bloomberg This Weekend and says producing more crude alone won't solve the problem because refiners are already operating near their limits, leaving little room to boost gasoline and diesel supplies quickly. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Sep 13
Investors See AI Slowdown as a Temporary Step
Investors See AI Slowdown as a Temporary Step Calls to slow AI development may create near-term uncertainty for markets, but BMO Capital Markets' Jennifer Lee is on Bloomberg This Weekend and says the technology's infrastructure, investment and demand are unlikely to reverse course. She says concerns about jobs, data centers and profitability could temper the pace of growth, even as labor shortages and the push for automation keep AI's longer-term economic expansion intact. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Sep 13
Corporate profit forecasts are topping expectations to an unusual degree. AI is a big reason why.
Corporate profit forecasts are topping expectations to an unusual degree. AI is a big reason why. The information-technology sector stands out when it comes to issuing upbeat earnings outlooks. via Market Watch
Sep 13
Ted Thatcher Sees Fed Holding Rates, SPX Near 9,000 Without U.S.-Iran War
Ted Thatcher Sees Fed Holding Rates, SPX Near 9,000 Without U.S.-Iran War "I don't think the Fed should be hiking" in September, says Ted Thatcher on interest rates, arguing that a hike won't shape the inflation picture. A resolution or sharp cooldown in the U.S.-Iran war is what he believes will offer true relief. via Schwab Network
Sep 13
The wages of American workers are under pressure. AI's potential role is drawing more attention
The wages of American workers are under pressure. AI's potential role is drawing more attention Wage growth for workers has slowed and is struggling to keep pace with inflation. It is too soon to say whether AI is contributing to slower wage growth or putting pressure on workers' pay. via CNBC
Sep 13
The price of almost everything on your dinner table is climbing at once — and Wall Street is taking notice
The price of almost everything on your dinner table is climbing at once — and Wall Street is taking notice Rising crop prices are making the current inflation problem bigger than just oil and the Iran war. via Market Watch
Sep 13
Iran Seeks Gulf Support for Hormuz Plan
Iran Seeks Gulf Support for Hormuz Plan Gulf states are weighing how to respond to Iran's push for a new arrangement governing the Strait of Hormuz as continued attacks threaten shipping and drive up energy costs. On Bloomberg This Weekend,  Bloomberg News Middle East Reporter Dan Williams and Bloomberg News White House Correspondent Skylar Woodhouse discuss growing regional frustration with the conflict, pressure on US allies and signs Gulf governments may be looking for a larger role in shaping a path forward. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Sep 13
What to Expect in Markets This Week: Fed Interest-Rate Decision; U.S. Retail Sales Data; Salesforce Conference
What to Expect in Markets This Week: Fed Interest-Rate Decision; U.S. Retail Sales Data; Salesforce Conference A barrage of economic data has tempered investors' hopes for steady interest rates. Now the Fed will make its move—or not. via Investopedia
Sep 13
Treasury Secretary Bessent says the U.S. can grow its way out of the debt crunch. What would it take?
Treasury Secretary Bessent says the U.S. can grow its way out of the debt crunch. What would it take? The Treasury secretary makes the argument that strong economic expansion is the antidote to climbing out of the deep debt hole. via WSJ
Sep 13

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